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Red61
68612.3
558710.3
61415.5
Blue35
46388.7
63264.9
77708.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36230103040506070806135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
15.52.4
13.215.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.9
red by 6.7
7770
#10
8.80.4
10.410.8
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End4.3
Second
686
#11
12.32.4
9.712.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.3
red by 3.5
4638
#14
8.70.4
7.98.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
5587
#12
10.32.4
9.511.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 5.4
6326
#15
4.90.4
4.75.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed