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Red45
447215.0
162918.4
558710.3
Blue41
68612.3
61415.5
77708.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46380102030506070804541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.0
18.017.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End9.8
red by 2.9
614
#7
15.50.0
15.615.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.9
Second
15.00.0
14.614.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End5.0
red by 2.7
686
#11
12.30.0
12.412.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Third
5587
#12
10.30.0
9.99.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 1.5
7770
#10
8.80.0
8.98.9
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End4.3