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Red32
511512.9
141815.5
253710.3
Blue34
173116.7
424214.2
46388.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801001201403234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.2
15.715.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End6.3
blue by 1.2
16.70.2
17.317.1
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End4.0
Second
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.5
blue by 1.3
14.20.2
14.914.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End6.9
Third
10.30.2
10.510.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.3
red by 1.5
4638
#14
8.70.2
9.59.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6