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Red22
86225.6
872611.6
242111.6
Blue34
6128.8
87035.1
111122.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103502030405060702234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#12
11.61.1
6.67.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End7.4
blue by 10.8
22.40.3
19.619.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Second
11.61.1
4.05.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End4.8
red by 2.9
612
#4
8.80.3
5.65.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3
Third
5.60.6
1.72.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
red by 0.5
8703
#11
5.10.5
4.65.1
Auto1.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed