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Red25
85925.7
6128.8
85144.0
Blue31
87035.1
445610.3
44915.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132702030405060702531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#4
8.80.5
6.26.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3
blue by 7.1
449
#3
15.80.8
11.212.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Second
8592
#14
5.70.8
1.62.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.1
blue by 4.6
10.30.5
7.78.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End6.6
Third
8514
#15
4.00.8
5.86.6
Auto1.0
Teleop0.6
End2.4
blue by 1.1
8703
#11
5.10.8
4.45.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned