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Red30
374811.5
86225.6
445610.3
Blue13
872611.6
242111.6
1168.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193304060801003013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#10
11.51.1
10.311.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
blue by 0.1
2421
#12
11.61.8
11.09.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End7.4
Second
10.30.8
8.49.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End6.6
blue by 1.3
11.612.5
18.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End4.8
Third
5.60.8
1.01.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
blue by 2.9
116
#16DQ
8.61.8
9.77.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed