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Red36
6128.8
374811.5
86225.6
Blue8
62395.0
83263.9
87035.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23150103040506070368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#10
11.51.2
8.69.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
red by 6.4
8703
#11
5.10.8
5.34.5
Auto1.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
Second
612
#4
8.80.8
6.77.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3
red by 3.8
6239
#17
5.00.8
4.94.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Third
5.60.8
5.05.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
red by 1.7
3.90.5
5.14.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed