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Red11
85144.0
1168.6
58416.0
Blue29
206811.6
872611.6
85925.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242410203040501129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#16
8.61.6
8.36.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.4
blue by 3.1
11.60.7
9.810.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Second
5841
#13
6.01.5
7.86.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 5.6
11.60.7
7.88.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End4.8
Third
8514
#15
4.01.6
6.65.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.6
End2.4
blue by 1.7
8592
#14
5.70.6
4.95.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed