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Red35
44915.8
6128.8
374811.5
Blue25
62395.0
872611.6
1168.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38240102030506070803525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
15.80.1
14.514.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.1
red by 4.2
11.60.1
11.811.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End4.8
Second
3748
#10
11.50.1
10.911.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
red by 3.0
116
#16
8.60.1
7.57.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.4
Third
612
#4
8.80.1
8.28.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3
red by 3.8
6239
#17
5.00.1
4.95.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed