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Red44
44915.8
111122.4
1168.6
Blue39
872611.6
533816.1
445610.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493902060801004439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
21.921.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 6.3
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End5.7
Second
449
#3
15.80.1
15.215.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.1
red by 4.2
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End4.8
Third
116
#16
8.60.1
8.07.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.4
blue by 1.8
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End6.6