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Red77
173123.2
447222.5
482113.3
Blue48
68617.7
454118.0
33598.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644420801007748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.3
22.623.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.3
End5.9
red by 5.1
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto6.0
Teleop2.9
End9.1
Second
22.50.3
22.022.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.0
End7.0
red by 4.8
686
#3
17.70.0
17.817.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End5.5
Third
4821
#13
13.30.4
12.713.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 5.1
3359
#12
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End3.3