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Red52
62017.6
284910.6
68617.7
Blue65
173123.2
78861.7
409922.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48462030406070805265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#3
17.70.3
17.216.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End5.5
blue by 5.4
23.20.9
17.918.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.3
End5.9
Second
620
#4
17.60.3
16.316.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End9.2
blue by 4.9
22.50.9
20.921.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.1
End5.2
Third
2849
#14
10.60.3
11.611.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.5
End2.6
red by 8.9
7886
#18
1.70.9
5.05.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned