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Red34
409922.5
62017.6
78861.7
Blue41
37937.6
68617.7
33598.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060803441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.9
21.820.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.1
End5.2
red by 4.7
686
#3
17.70.6
16.817.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End5.5
Second
620
#4
17.60.9
16.015.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End9.2
red by 9.4
3359
#12
8.20.6
6.67.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End3.3
Third
7886
#18
1.70.9
5.95.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.4
End1.5
blue by 6.0
3793
#10
7.60.6
4.55.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed