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Red18
78861.7
44643.7
447222.5
Blue54
62017.6
15229.3
558713.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34390102030506070801854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.0
20.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.0
End7.0
red by 4.9
620
#4
17.60.9
16.217.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End9.2
Second
4464
#17
3.71.6
7.55.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 9.9
5587
#15
13.60.9
12.713.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End3.2
Third
7886
#18
1.71.0
5.04.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.4
End1.5
blue by 7.6
1522
#11
9.30.9
7.18.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned