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Red2
237714.2
78861.7
44643.7
Blue70
447222.5
409922.5
138910.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235804080100270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.22.7
16.213.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End3.3
blue by 8.3
22.51.3
19.320.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.0
End7.0
Second
4464
#17
3.72.5
5.93.4
Auto0.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 18.8
22.51.3
21.222.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.1
End5.2
Third
7886
#18
1.71.6
4.02.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.4
End1.5
blue by 9.1
10.71.3
9.711.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned