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Red29
15229.3
44643.7
138910.7
Blue66
409922.5
482113.3
68617.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1859040801002966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.70.5
11.011.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.6
End6.5
blue by 11.8
22.50.8
22.523.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.1
End5.2
Second
1522
#11
9.30.5
7.78.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End3.5
blue by 8.5
686
#3
17.70.8
16.417.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End5.5
Third
4464
#17
3.70.7
3.44.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 9.6
4821
#13
13.31.2
11.112.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed