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Red53
454118.0
558713.6
482113.3
Blue51
15229.3
284910.6
409922.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353801020305060705351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.7
15.317.0
Auto6.0
Teleop2.9
End9.1
blue by 4.5
22.51.0
19.920.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.1
End5.2
Second
5587
#15
13.61.0
9.510.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End3.2
red by 3.0
2849
#14
10.61.0
10.511.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Third
4821
#13
13.31.7
8.610.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 4.0
1522
#11
9.31.0
5.16.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed