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Red30
62136.8
45059.1
572427.9
Blue34
777016.5
85908.0
171913.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403001020506070803034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
26.225.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.3
End6.0
red by 11.4
16.50.0
11.111.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Second
4505
#16
9.10.4
4.13.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 4.6
13.70.0
12.212.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
6213
#13
6.80.4
6.45.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.3
blue by 1.2
8590
#15
8.00.0
6.36.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed