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Red17
242116.6
511517.4
218611.8
Blue24
171913.7
62136.8
823014.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44280204060801724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#14
17.41.5
14.212.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End4.4
red by 3.0
14.30.6
11.010.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Second
16.61.5
13.912.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End9.9
red by 2.9
13.70.6
12.311.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
2186
#11
11.81.5
11.49.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End3.6
red by 4.9
6213
#13
6.80.6
5.14.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed