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Red58
62326.5
85908.0
511517.4
Blue65
580427.9
242116.6
777016.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45572040801005865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#1
26.50.9
22.923.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End9.9
blue by 1.4
27.90.9
23.824.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End11.8
Second
5115
#14
17.40.9
14.715.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End4.4
red by 0.7
16.60.9
14.115.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End9.9
Third
8590
#15
8.00.9
6.37.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.2
blue by 8.5
16.50.9
13.714.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned