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Red58
253713.9
823014.3
45059.1
Blue70
580427.9
242116.6
62136.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34500204060805870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.31.1
12.613.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 13.6
27.91.4
24.726.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End11.8
Second
2537
#12
13.91.1
13.314.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 2.8
16.61.4
15.016.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End9.9
Third
4505
#16
9.11.1
8.09.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.6
red by 2.3
6213
#13
6.81.4
5.46.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned