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Red53
189515.8
171913.7
511517.4
Blue63
85908.0
463815.2
580427.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47512030406070805363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#14
17.40.6
16.817.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End4.4
blue by 10.6
27.90.8
26.126.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End11.8
Second
1895
#10
15.80.6
14.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.0
red by 0.6
15.20.8
13.714.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Third
13.70.6
13.614.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 5.7
8590
#15
8.00.8
7.28.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned