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Red26
45059.1
253713.9
511517.4
Blue31
823014.3
191516.2
189515.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930102040502631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#14
17.40.1
12.812.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End4.4
red by 1.1
16.20.4
8.99.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End5.8
Second
2537
#12
13.90.1
11.110.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 1.9
1895
#10
15.80.2
10.010.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Third
4505
#16
9.10.1
4.03.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 5.3
14.30.3
8.99.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed