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Red50
777016.5
253713.9
191516.2
Blue55
242116.6
572427.9
171913.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275902040801005055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.5
9.611.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End8.5
blue by 11.4
27.90.3
26.026.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.3
End6.0
Second
16.22.2
9.311.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End5.8
blue by 0.4
16.60.3
14.214.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End9.9
Third
2537
#12
13.91.3
10.912.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
red by 0.2
13.70.3
10.811.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed