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Red53
242116.6
777016.5
191516.2
Blue59
572427.9
171913.7
253713.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51632030407080901005359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.1
16.616.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End9.9
blue by 11.2
27.90.1
28.528.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.3
End6.0
Second
16.50.1
16.416.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End8.5
red by 2.6
2537
#12
13.90.1
14.514.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Third
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End5.8
red by 2.5
13.70.1
14.314.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End3.6