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Red36
141814.6
298813.0
554911.2
Blue79
82177.1
482115.9
83631.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43482030607080903679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#12
14.60.3
16.816.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 17.1
836
#1
31.62.3
26.729.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.3
End5.9
Second
13.00.3
13.212.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End6.4
blue by 2.9
4821
#10
15.92.3
12.614.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Third
5549
#11
11.20.3
10.710.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End3.4
red by 4.1
8217
#15
7.12.3
5.17.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned