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Red64
482115.9
219923.2
191516.9
Blue50
29005.2
29619.6
188525.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614220801006450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
22.323.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End10.8
blue by 2.6
25.80.5
24.825.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End9.7
Second
16.90.6
17.418.0
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End7.0
red by 7.3
2961
#14
9.60.8
11.212.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Third
4821
#10
15.90.6
14.915.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 10.7
2900
#17
5.20.5
6.26.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed