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Red31
554911.2
237715.3
82177.1
Blue60
188525.8
454120.9
52434.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335602040801003160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#13
15.30.2
15.515.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 10.5
25.80.7
25.125.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End9.7
Second
5549
#11
11.20.2
11.411.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 9.7
20.90.7
20.220.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End11.4
Third
8217
#15
7.10.2
7.37.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End2.2
red by 2.2
5243
#16
4.80.7
4.14.8
Auto0.1
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned