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Red56
44922.4
61422.0
206815.8
Blue49
632611.2
172719.8
533820.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
22.40.5
18.418.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End8.8
red by 2.5
20.00.2
19.319.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End4.4
Second
614
#2
22.00.5
16.517.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.9
red by 2.2
19.80.2
16.116.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.0
Third
2068
#10
15.80.5
13.514.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 4.7
6326
#11
11.20.2
6.46.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed