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Red32
686314.2
53914.3
172719.8
Blue41
872618.0
859211.6
291417.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432602060803241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
13.813.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.0
red by 1.8
18.01.1
11.612.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End5.7
Second
539
#13
14.30.5
11.811.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 2.8
17.11.1
9.010.1
Auto7.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Third
6863
#12
14.20.5
12.211.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.1
red by 2.6
11.61.2
5.76.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed