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Red10
67225.7
316410.7
65277.3
Blue14
46227.8
15928.4
74319.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823010405060701014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#24
10.71.1
6.65.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End4.4
red by 1.8
7431
#41
9.00.9
8.57.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Second
6527
#52
7.31.8
9.47.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 1.2
1592
#22
8.40.5
4.54.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Third
6722
#42
5.71.8
9.98.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
blue by 2.1
4622
#26
7.80.9
8.88.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed