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Red34
8615.9
877510.6
805712.6
Blue50
362713.5
750019.9
105614.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294002060801003450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#10
15.90.6
10.411.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End8.5
blue by 4.0
19.91.1
15.016.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End6.1
Second
8057
#23
12.60.6
9.910.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 1.9
14.41.1
10.711.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.5
Third
8775
#25
10.60.6
8.18.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.0
blue by 2.9
3627
#19
13.50.7
10.511.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned