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Red38
365317.2
17977.7
87534.9
Blue87
38622.0
64739.8
17947.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2278040601001203887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#30
17.21.2
14.115.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 30.4
179
#1
47.61.4
46.147.4
Auto14.3
Teleop20.3
End13.0
Second
1797
#49
7.71.2
6.07.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End2.0
blue by 14.4
386
#15
22.02.3
13.315.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Third
8753
#53
4.91.2
7.48.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 4.9
6473
#33
9.82.3
6.89.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned