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Red46
52837.3
74416.4
8615.9
Blue30
23316.9
27974.3
805712.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352701020304050604630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#12
16.41.0
13.114.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End3.7
blue by 0.5
233
#44
16.90.0
11.311.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Second
86
#10
15.91.6
11.112.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End8.5
red by 3.3
8057
#23
12.60.0
11.211.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
5283
#38
7.31.6
7.49.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
red by 3.0
2797
#50
4.30.0
3.93.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed