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Red34
2114.4
362713.5
27974.3
Blue25
64739.8
58166.1
761111.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3221010405060703425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#18
14.40.3
13.313.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End8.0
red by 2.7
7611
#32
11.60.1
5.95.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.8
Second
3627
#19
13.50.3
11.812.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.4
red by 3.7
6473
#33
9.80.1
8.38.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End5.7
Third
2797
#50
4.30.6
3.94.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 1.8
5816
#48
6.10.1
7.37.2
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed