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Red56
761111.6
152310.4
448138.0
Blue30
18849.0
365317.2
74319.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55402060801005630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.2
34.334.5
Auto13.0
Teleop19.4
End5.5
red by 20.8
3653
#30
17.21.0
20.319.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Second
7611
#32
11.60.3
5.86.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.8
red by 2.6
1884
#45
9.01.0
9.38.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Third
1523
#21
10.40.2
9.19.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
red by 1.5
7431
#41
9.01.0
9.88.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed