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Red34
40136.8
74319.0
750019.9
Blue48
105614.4
547220.3
832412.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404802060803448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.5
22.121.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End6.1
blue by 0.4
20.30.3
19.119.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Second
7431
#41
9.00.5
8.78.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 5.5
14.40.5
16.216.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.5
Third
4013
#37
6.80.5
7.46.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 5.5
8324
#16
12.40.3
8.68.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned