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Red22
105614.4
40136.8
87914.7
Blue104
448138.0
38622.0
1630.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2094040608012014022104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.41.5
16.615.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.5
blue by 23.5
38.01.7
34.636.3
Auto13.0
Teleop19.4
End5.5
Second
4013
#37
6.81.5
6.95.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 23.4
16
#4
30.32.6
25.227.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.8
End7.5
Third
8791
#43
4.71.5
4.63.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 17.4
386
#15
22.02.6
19.221.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned