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Red45
805712.6
884116.7
32427.4
Blue37
547220.3
40247.4
70728.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284101020506070804537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#34
16.71.8
13.615.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 3.6
20.30.0
19.419.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Second
8057
#23
12.61.8
9.311.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 4.4
7072
#27
8.20.0
11.711.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End2.3
Third
3242
#36
7.41.8
5.06.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Level
4024
#40
7.40.0
5.95.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed