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Red32
105614.4
63225.5
51458.9
Blue52
393728.5
32427.4
15928.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28470204060803252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.3
15.115.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.5
blue by 14.0
28.50.6
26.827.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End8.0
Second
5145
#47
8.90.3
8.58.9
Auto3.9
Teleop1.6
End3.5
red by 0.4
1592
#22
8.40.4
8.08.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Third
6322
#39
5.50.3
5.25.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
blue by 1.9
3242
#36
7.40.6
6.87.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed