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Red66
1630.3
406513.9
155710.9
Blue22
64739.8
27974.3
46227.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5722040801006622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
30.31.6
27.829.3
Auto7.0
Teleop15.8
End7.5
red by 20.5
6473
#33
9.81.1
10.99.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End5.7
Second
4065
#11
13.91.6
12.514.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End4.6
red by 6.1
4622
#26
7.81.1
8.97.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End0.8
Third
1557
#35
10.91.7
9.210.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.6
End3.8
red by 6.6
2797
#50
4.31.1
5.44.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed