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Red60
303921.8
105619.4
599712.9
Blue51
884119.7
647314.6
58168.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614320801006051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.0
22.022.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End4.9
red by 2.1
8841
#15
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End2.8
Second
19.40.0
19.619.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End4.0
red by 4.8
14.60.2
14.414.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End5.4
Third
5997
#17
12.90.0
13.013.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 4.1
5816
#22
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.7