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Red71
804422.8
406514.9
418713.7
Blue67
541014.9
457620.3
873210.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57462040801007167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.4
22.923.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 2.5
4576
#10
20.30.4
19.920.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.5
Second
14.90.4
15.015.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Level
5410
#19
14.90.4
14.414.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End4.0
Third
4187
#20
13.70.4
13.814.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
red by 2.9
8732
#27
10.80.4
10.410.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End-0.5