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Red31
57226.0
408716.5
190214.4
Blue20
618411.8
19126.9
349.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373110204050603120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#11
16.51.2
17.015.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 4.8
6184
#25
11.81.6
6.65.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End3.6
Second
1902
#12
14.40.7
12.611.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 5.1
34
#35
9.31.6
12.010.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
5722
#36
6.01.2
4.23.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 0.9
1912
#32
6.91.6
11.59.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed