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Red26
41797.1
19126.9
408716.5
Blue14
401311.0
599712.9
255611.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362910204050602614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#11
16.51.2
14.513.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 3.6
5997
#17
12.91.6
9.88.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Second
4179
#29
7.11.2
7.66.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 4.4
2556
#26
11.51.6
11.610.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End3.2
Third
1912
#32
6.91.2
10.99.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 4.0
4013
#13
11.01.3
6.85.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed