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Red40
795.7
457620.3
299227.1
Blue60
45615.5
804422.8
884119.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535030406070804060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.4
24.623.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End5.7
red by 4.3
22.81.3
14.115.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
4576
#10
20.31.4
17.516.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.5
red by 0.7
8841
#15
19.70.8
20.921.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End2.8
Third
79
#34
5.70.9
7.26.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End-1.5
blue by 9.7
456
#21
15.51.3
12.313.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed