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Red31
314010.3
190214.4
618411.8
Blue41
795.7
401311.0
45615.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130102040503141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#12
14.40.1
12.012.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 1.1
456
#21
15.51.2
13.714.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.0
Second
6184
#25
11.80.2
7.37.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End3.6
red by 0.8
4013
#13
11.00.9
8.29.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Third
3140
#31
10.30.2
9.69.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 4.6
79
#34
5.70.9
6.37.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed