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Red56
804422.8
618411.8
743114.2
Blue39
58168.9
433615.8
314010.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42350102030506070805639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.6
19.320.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 7.0
4336
#23
15.80.1
14.714.8
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End6.4
Second
7431
#24
14.21.2
11.312.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End3.8
red by 3.9
3140
#31
10.30.2
9.810.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Third
6184
#25
11.81.6
7.59.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End3.6
red by 2.9
5816
#22
8.90.1
8.88.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed