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Red39
795.7
45629.1
8625.0
Blue51
142126.6
418713.7
57226.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720306070803951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#5
25.00.1
23.523.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End10.4
blue by 1.7
26.60.6
24.525.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End12.2
Second
4562
#28
9.10.1
9.99.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.5
blue by 4.6
4187
#20
13.70.6
14.114.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
Third
79
#34
5.70.1
6.66.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End-1.5
blue by 0.3
5722
#36
6.00.6
5.25.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned