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Red86
299227.1
142126.6
87789.0
Blue50
303921.8
105619.4
599712.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695730405080901001108650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.5
27.327.8
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End5.7
red by 5.3
21.80.1
22.122.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
26.60.5
26.827.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End12.2
red by 7.3
19.40.1
19.719.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Third
8778
#18
9.00.5
9.29.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End3.3
blue by 3.9
5997
#17
12.90.1
13.012.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.1